Mr. Tran Duc Canh continues to discuss the current state and future solutions for developing Vietnam’s human resources.To accelerate the “industrialization and modernization” of the country in the coming time, increasing the quantity and quality of education at all levels is mandatory.”
Continuing from the previous discussion on the development of human resources to meet the demands of industrialization and modernization in the context of integration. Many opinions suggest that to achieve a stable and reasonable human resource structure, it is necessary to expand universities or possibly universalize higher education, raising the student-per-ten-thousand ratio?
Illustrative photo. Internet
Although the number of students has doubled in the past decade, the current figure is only about 250 students (College and University) per ten thousand people, while the U.S. and South Korea are at 670-680 students per ten thousand. However, the recent alarming rate of unemployed bachelor’s and master’s graduates indicates a significant mismatch between the supply and demand for college and university-educated labor, as well as a weak economy heavily reliant on agriculture. Commenting on this, Mr. Tran Duc Canh, former Director of Training and Human Resource Development in Massachusetts, USA, stated that the “supply” itself does not solve the problem of effective human resource training but must be connected to “demand.”
According to Mr. Canh, to accelerate the “industrialization and modernization” of the country in the coming time, increasing the quantity and quality of education at all levels is mandatory.
Outline of the 2015-2035 human resource development model.
Explanation:
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– According to estimates, Vietnam’s population in 2035 will be 117 million people, with 60.84 million people aged 25-60+ participating in the workforce, accounting for 52% of the national population. Note that some international labor reports calculate the working age starting from 15+ or 18+; I choose 25+ to align with the university graduation age. Due to space constraints, a detailed analysis is not included. – The number of untrained workers will decrease by 30% over 20 years, mainly due to the shift from agricultural, forestry, and fisheries labor (currently accounting for 48%) to industry. – As job requirements demand expertise, the percentage of on-the-job trained labor will decrease to 16.5%. Businesses will require employees to undergo formal training. – A model of technical high schools, vocational schools, and intermediate vocational schools needs to be developed to supply the necessary labor force for the economy, which is currently very lacking and weak. – Increase the number of college students by 10% to meet the demand for mid-level personnel. The college system should reduce the duration of most programs from 3 to 2 years. – Increase the number of bachelor’s degrees by 15.6% and master’s degrees by 3.25% to meet the demand for skilled and specialized personnel and management. – Increase the number of highly specialized professionals (doctors, dentists, pharmacists, lawyers, etc.) by 1% according to societal development needs, and PhDs by 0.25% to meet the demand for college/university teaching and research (not for government management). |
Experience in some developed countries shows that educational and training development cannot lack socialization. In Japan, public universities account for only 23%, and in South Korea, 18%. These two countries have a very high rate of higher education socialization. In Vietnam’s context, the budget for higher education is not large but is spread too thin. According to Mr. Canh, the government should promote the socialization of higher education, reducing the percentage of students in public schools to around 50% over the next 25 years, to maintain reasonable support for the public school system in the future.
“The role of the public university system is essential, but more attention should be paid to fields that society needs and that the private school system does not want or is unable to invest in, at least during this period, such as education, social sciences and humanities, and scientific research, while also creating opportunities for students from low-income families,” Mr. Tran Duc Canh stated.
Currently, the public school system has many advantages compared to the non-public school system in terms of facilities, faculty, and entrance competition. However, the government should invest in the public school system with clear selection and objectives, rather than widespread subsidies.
Mr. Tran Duc Canh also noted that while the non-public college and university system is still young, it will play an important role in the future, as the demand for training human resources increases from 250 to 450 students per ten thousand people, and the government’s ability to financially support the public school system will be limited. The government should have policies to support and create conditions for the non-public school system to develop, especially for non-profit schools. Creating a long-term level playing field between the public and non-public school systems, with healthy competition, is key.
Having lived and worked in the United States for many years and participated in human resource training in developed countries, Mr. Tran Duc Canh believes that in a knowledge economy, human resources play a leading role in production and services.
According to Mr. Canh, the United States is a country with an early “knowledge economy” structure. As a large and stable economy, one of the world’s leading, the U.S.’s greatest strength lies in its ability to store data, conduct statistics, research, analyze, evaluate, and provide information quickly and efficiently, offering accurate job and industry forecasts for the future.
“Vietnam’s environment and conditions for accessing information, statistics, and data analysis are still very limited, leading to inaccuracies and unreliability in reports and evaluations.
Honestly, for those passionate about research and academia, Vietnam has a wealth of unexplored and unexploited topics that could be applied to fields from economics to social sciences. What matters is the responsibility to provide reliable information about the economy, long-term economic and social development plans and directions, and research and forecasting capabilities to effectively build human resource development models and plans,” Mr. Tran Duc Canh shared.
According to Mr. Tran Duc Canh, in the current socio-economic context, predictions are difficult and risky, but with the participation of many organizations and research groups, forecasts will gradually be adjusted and become more accurate and reliable.
Source: http://giaoduc.net.vn/Giao-duc-24h/Chuyen-gia-Tran-Duc-Canh-dua-ra-giai-phap-cho-nguon-nhan-luc-Viet-Nam-post154049.gd
